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Dr.
Lev Grinberg, Tel Aviv |
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A new game
is quickly gaining popularity in Israel: Sharonopoly. In the past we had
expert Sharonologists, who could tell us when Sharon was lying, joking,
just bluffing or undergoing a radical change. Nowadays, the political discussion
revolves around Sharon's intentions. Sharonopoly has replaced a concrete
discussion of issues, especially in the left (the right simply hopes he's
bluffing the Gentiles).
Sharonopoly has reached new heights once Sharon has blurted
out the word "occupation". The left was ecstatic: "He has adopted our
views"; the Attorney General quickly interfered and corrected Sharon,
saying that these were "territories under controversy". But Sharon was
not even talking about the "territories", but about three and a half million
Palestinians under occupation. To remove any doubts, he specified the
locations from which he was ready to withdraw: Ramallah, Jenin, Nablus.
Hebron was not on his list.
The distinction between human beings and the land upon which
they live is not Sharon's, but Menachem Begin's brainchild, along with
his 1978 Autonomy Plan. Sharon is merely refining the wording: instead
of calling it autonomy, he speaks of a state. The road map is tailored
to Sharon's conception: The Palestinian state is temporary and borderless,
while the issue of dismantling the settlements is deferred until after
the final agreement between the parties regarding borders. The extreme
right wing opposition is correct in saying that the road map is "worse
than Oslo", and for the same reasons. It is bad because it does not lead
to a viable Palestinian state, but to a short-lived Palestinian authority
that would eventually blow up under the pressure of the masses and the
opposition. All the explosives remain intact: the settlements in the heart
of Palestinian occupied population, IDF blockades and the economic dependency.
The predictable failure does not stem from Sharon's good
or bad intentions. It stems from the conception accepted by the right
and most of the "left", according to which Barak has "offered everything"
at Camp David, despite the fact that he sought to keep most of the settlements,
which practically dissect the Palestinian state into at least four separate
cantons, preventing a viable state with territorial continuity.
The Road Map resembles Oslo also in the reaction of the
peace supporters: waxing lyrical about words, rituals and symbols while
ignoring the concrete reality in the territories: the doubling of settler
population during 1993-2000, the intensification of the blockade and closure,
and the deterioration of the Palestinians' economic situation. As in the
days of the Oslo Accords, the Road Map establishes peace only in the imagination
of Israeli and Palestinian peace supporters wishing to delude themselves
into believing that words would suffice to change the hard reality of
prolonged occupation.
Anyone wishing to change the reality of the occupation must
begin with moves that would radically change the circumstances in the
territories and trigger a dynamics of changing atmosphere and political
stances:
1. Dismantling the settlements: 50,000 housing units must
be built within two-three years, and reparation legislation must be promptly
enacted to encourage the settlers to leave voluntarily.
2. Terminating IDF's contact with the Palestinian population,
by withdrawal and the introduction of international peace forces to assist
the Palestinian police in taking over the territory, enforce law and order
and collect arms from civilians.
These two moves could build genuine trust between the two
peace-craving peoples, and would cause some of the religious-nationalist
fanatics on both sides to rethink their course in order to participate
in a future framework of democratic politics. These moves cannot be carried
out as long as the borders remain disputed. The only acceptable baseline
is the pre-1967 border. If the border is not determined up front, if the
settlements are allowed to continue their "natural" expansion, if the
army continues to erect roadblocks and control every aspect of Palestinian
daily life, the fate of the Road Map will be the same as Oslo's, or worse.
The myth of the "Oslo Accords as a peace process" is the
reason for the sharp right turn and the crisis of the left in Israeli
society. Another myth, of the "Road Map as a peace process", must not
be fabricated again. Instead, an incisive political discussion must be
held, and Sharonopoly should be discarded. The tendency to address the
leader's hidden intentions instead of discussing his actual policy only
feeds the illusion that the occupation would somehow dissolve itself,
powered up by words and rituals, without a earnest political struggle.
It won't happen. Just ask the Hebron settlers.
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